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Inversion. The Mental Model of Thinking Backward to Win Forward
What if the secret to achieving success wasn’t about crafting the perfect plan, but about systematically sidestepping every possible way...
7 days ago6 min read


The Framing Effect. How a Single Word Changes Your Mind
A cognitive bias where people decide on options based on whether the options are presented with positive or negative connotations (the...
7 days ago1 min read


The Anchoring Effect. Why Every Sale Feels Like a Good Deal
A cognitive bias where an individual depends too heavily on an initial piece of information offered (the "anchor") when making decisions....
7 days ago2 min read


Loss Aversion. Why Loss is Worse than Gain
The pain of losing is psychologically about twice as powerful as the pleasure of winning. A software company wants you to try its...
7 days ago2 min read


The Narrative Fallacy. Why we Simplify a Complicated World
The human tendency to create stories to explain past events, oversimplifying causality and making them seem more predictable than they...
7 days ago2 min read


Survivorship Bias. The Dangers of Believing Old Smokers
The logical error of concentrating on the people or things that "survived" a process while overlooking those that did not because they...
7 days ago2 min read


Availability Heuristic. Why Your Perception of Risk is Flawed
Our judgment is swayed by vivid, recent, or emotionally charged examples, not by statistical reality. After a major plane crash dominates...
7 days ago2 min read


Confirmation Bias. Why are we so stubborn?
The universal human tendency to search for, interpret, favor, and recall information in a way that confirms or supports one's...
7 days ago2 min read


Via Negativa. How to Improve Your Life by Subtracting
In many domains, improvement comes not from seeking the good, but from eliminating the bad. You draft a long, complicated email full of...
7 days ago2 min read


Antifragility. Why Resilience is Not Good Enough
Antifragility is the quality of systems that gain strength, capability, and resilience as a result of stressors, shocks, or failures. A...
7 days ago2 min read


The Black Swan Theory. How to Prepare for the Unpredictable
History is shaped by rare, unpredictable, high-impact events, not by the normal, predictable ones. For decades, the structure of office...
7 days ago2 min read


Second- Order Thinking. How to Think Beyond Immediate Consequences
Second-order thinking is deep and complex. It considers the longer-term consequences of the initial effects. A manager at an ice cream...
7 days ago2 min read


Occam's Razor. A Cure for Overthinking
Among competing hypotheses that predict equally well, the one with the fewest assumptions should be selected. You can't find your house...
Aug 152 min read


Circle of Competence. How to Combat Overconfidence Bias
Rational decision-making requires honestly identifying the boundaries of your "circle of competence" and operating only within it. At a...
Aug 152 min read


The Map Is Not the Territory. How Oversimplification Skews Our View of Reality
Models are useful abstractions, but they are always incomplete and can lead to errors if we forget they are not reality. You are...
Aug 142 min read


Thinking, Fast and Slow. How to Master the Two Minds Within You
You begin the day with the clearest of intentions. A healthy salad for lunch, a brisk run after work, an evening spent with a good book....
Aug 135 min read
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