What if the secret to achieving success wasn’t about crafting the perfect plan, but about systematically sidestepping every possible way...

The human tendency to create stories to explain past events, oversimplifying causality and making them seem more predictable than they...

The logical error of concentrating on the people or things that "survived" a process while overlooking those that did not because they...

Our judgment is swayed by vivid, recent, or emotionally charged examples, not by statistical reality. After a major plane crash dominates...

The universal human tendency to search for, interpret, favor, and recall information in a way that confirms or supports one's...

Second-order thinking is deep and complex. It considers the longer-term consequences of the initial effects. A manager at an ice cream...

Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity, carelessness, or incompetence. A colleague from another...

Among competing hypotheses that predict equally well, the one with the fewest assumptions should be selected. You can't find your house...

If a belief cannot be disproven by any conceivable evidence, it is not a scientific claim but an article of faith. Your friend claims a...

Rational decision-making requires honestly identifying the boundaries of your "circle of competence" and operating only within it. At a...

Models are useful abstractions, but they are always incomplete and can lead to errors if we forget they are not reality. You are...