top of page


Inversion. The Mental Model of Thinking Backward to Win Forward
This article provides a practical way for you to use Inversion . We will look at its ancient roots, its modern use in business, and the...
Aug 166 min read


The Narrative Fallacy. Why we Simplify a Complicated World
The human tendency to create stories to explain past events, oversimplifying causality and making them seem more predictable than they...
Aug 162 min read


How Business Pre-Mortem Planning can Solve Survivorship Bias
Your team is preparing to launch a new initiative. You have studied the market leaders, reverse-engineered their strategies, and built a...
Aug 166 min read


Confirmation Bias. Why are we so stubborn?
The universal human tendency to search for, interpret, favor, and recall information in a way that confirms or supports one's...
Aug 162 min read


Second-Order Thinking. How to Think Beyond Immediate Consequences
Second-order thinking is deep and complex. It considers the longer-term consequences of the initial effects. A manager at an ice cream...
Aug 162 min read


Hanlon's Razor for Conflict Resolution. A Mental Model to Reduce Stress
In the intricate landscape of professional and social life, our minds are wired to fill a single, terse email or a missed deadline with a narrative of negative or malicious intent. This costly cognitive reflex is not a personal failing but a result of predictable psychological flaws––this tendency is a productivity killer. When individuals habitually assume negative intent, they trigger a cascade of adverse psychological effects, including heightened anxiety, chronic tension,
Aug 166 min read


Falsifiability. How to tell if someone is lying to you
If a belief cannot be disproven by any conceivable evidence, it is not a scientific claim but an article of faith. Your friend claims a...
Aug 152 min read


Define Your Strengths and Weaknesses through Your Circle of Competence
In the 1990s, Harley-Davidson ––a brand synonymous with rugged individualism, powerful motorcycles, and the open road––made a strategic...
Aug 1511 min read
bottom of page